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BACKGROUND: The risk of intracranial bleeding during anticoagulation for venous thromboembolism (VTE) is substantial and persists beyond the initial treatment phase. We aimed to refine risk-assessment through phase-specific prognostic scores. METHODS: We identified data from 77,786 VTE patients in the RIETE registry from March 2009 to October 2023 to develop two prognostic scores for intracranial bleeding. Multivariable Cox regression was used to analyze distinct variables for the early (≤90 days) and late (>90 days) phases, with comparative validation against existing scores (modified ACCP, RIETE, VTE-BLEED, and CHAP). RESULTS: Intracranial bleeding occurred in 411 patients (0.53 %), with 208 cases in the early phase and 203 in the late phase. The 30-day mortality was 45 % and 35 %, respectively. Shared significant predictors for both phases include baseline abnormal mental status, brain cancer, recent intracranial bleeding, and epilepsy. Unique to early-phase bleeding were body weight, non-brain cancer, hypertension, dementia, thrombocytopenia, renal insufficiency, and thrombolytic therapy. Advanced age, pulmonary embolism initially, prior stroke, depression, treatment with direct oral anticoagulants, and use of corticosteroids predicted late-phase bleeding. Both prognostic scores showed a c-statistic of 0.68, outperforming existing scores. CONCLUSIONS: The study introduces two temporal prognostic scores for intracranial bleeding during anticoagulation for VTE. By discerning specific risk factors pertinent to each treatment phase, these scores outperform traditional models, offering an advanced tool for clinical decision-making. They hold significant potential for optimizing anticoagulation management and reducing bleeding-related mortality.
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BACKGROUND: Data on recurrence after the end of anticoagulation for a first event of cancer-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) are scarce. OBJECTIVES: Our aim was to assess predictors of VTE recurrence during a 1-year follow-up period. METHODS: This study is an analysis of RIETE, an international, multicenter, prospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with VTE. Patients had to have active cancer at the time of VTE and to have withdrawn from anticoagulation after 3 months of full treatment. Analyses were performed using Fine and Gray models, with death as a competing risk, and multiple imputation of missing data was performed by chained equations. RESULTS: Among 14 318 patients with cancer-associated VTE, 3414 had undergone time-limited anticoagulation for at least 3 months. The cumulative incidence function for recurrent VTE was 10.2% (95% CI, 9.1-11.5) at 1 year. Chronic kidney disease (a subhazard ratio [sHR] of 1.08 for 10-mL/min decrease in glomerular filtration rate; 95% CI, 1.02-1.14); cancer of the lung, brain, stomach, esophagus, liver, or ovary (sHR, 3.56; 95% CI, 1.07-11.80; compared with cancer of the oropharynx, larynx, or melanoma); cancer of the pancreas, the biliary tract, or of unknown origin (sHR, 6.86; 95% CI, 1.89-24.85); inferior vena cava filter (sHR, 3.16; 95% CI, 1.75-5.71); postthrombotic syndrome (sHR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.06-4.15); and residual pulmonary thrombotic obstruction (sHR, 2.58; 95% CI, 1.38-4.82) were predictive of recurrence. Surgery during the 2 months before VTE was predictive of absence of recurrence (sHR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.40-0.92). CONCLUSION: One year after anticoagulant cessation for cancer-associated VTE, approximately 10% of patients experienced recurrence. Discontinuing anticoagulant therapy seems safe, mainly in surgery-associated VTE.
Asunto(s)
Neoplasias , Tromboembolia Venosa , Femenino , Humanos , Anticoagulantes/uso terapéutico , Neoplasias/complicaciones , Estudios Prospectivos , Recurrencia , Factores de Riesgo , Tromboembolia Venosa/diagnóstico , Tromboembolia Venosa/tratamiento farmacológico , Tromboembolia Venosa/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
The influence of the day of diagnosis (weekends vs. weekdays) on outcome in patients with acute venous thromboembolism (VTE) has not been thoroughly studied. We used the RIETE database to compare the clinical characteristics, treatment details, and mortality rate at 7 and 30 days, of all patients diagnosed with acute VTE on weekends versus those diagnosed on weekdays. Up to January 2010, 30,394 patients were included in RIETE, of whom 5,479 (18%) were diagnosed on weekends. Most clinical characteristics were similar in both groups, but patients diagnosed on weekends had less often cancer (20% vs. 22%; p=0.004), and presented more likely with pulmonary embolism (PE) than those diagnosed on weekdays (52% vs. 47%; p <0.001). Most patients in both groups received initial therapy with low-molecular-weight heparin (90% and 91%, respectively; p=0.01), then switched to vitamin K antagonists (72% and 71%, respectively; p=0.007). The 7-day mortality rate in patients presenting with PE was 2.75% in those diagnosed on weekends versus 3.00% in those diagnosed on weekdays (p=0.49). At 30 days, the mortality rate was 6.51% versus 6.06%, respectively (p=0.38). In patients presenting with deep vein thrombosis alone, the 7-day mortality rate in those diagnosed on weekends was 1.04% versuss 0.66% in those diagnosed on weekdays (p=0.053). The mortality rate at 30 days was of 3.41% versus 2.88% (p=0.14), respectively. In RIETE, the clinical characteristics, treatment strategies, and 7- and 30-day mortality rates of patients diagnosed on weekends were similar to those in patients diagnosed on weekdays.