RESUMEN
Background: Carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative organism (CRO) infection is a critical clinical disease with high mortality rates. The 30-day mortality rate following antibiotic treatment serves as a benchmark for assessing the quality of care. Colistin sulfate is currently considered the last resort therapy against infections caused by CRO. Nevertheless, there is a scarcity of reliable tools for personalized prognosis of CRO infections. This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram to predict the 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with CRO infection who underwent colistin sulfate treatment. Methods: A prediction model was developed and preliminarily validated using CRO-infected patients treated with colistin sulfate at Tongji Hospital in Wuhan, China, who were hospitalized between May 2018 and May 2023, forming the study cohort. Patients admitted to Xianning Central Hospital in Xianning, China, between May 2018 and May 2023 were considered for external validation. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify independent predictors and establish a nomogram to predict the occurrence of 30-day all-cause mortality. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the area under the ROC curve (AUC), and the calibration curve were used to evaluate model performance. The decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the model clinical utility. Results: A total of 170 patients in the study cohort and 65 patients in the external validation cohort were included. Factors such as age, duration of combination therapy, nasogastric tube placement, history of previous surgery, presence of polymicrobial infections, and occurrence of septic shock were independently associated with 30-day all-cause mortality and were used to construct the nomogram. The AUC of the nomogram constructed from the above six factors was 0.888 in the training set. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the model was a good fit (p = 0.944). The calibration curve of the nomogram was close to the ideal diagonal line. Furthermore, the decision curve analysis demonstrated significantly better net benefit in the model. The external validation proved the reliability of the prediction nomogram. Conclusion: A nomogram was developed and validated to predict the occurrence of 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with CRO infection treated with colistin sulfate. This nomogram offers healthcare providers a precise and efficient means for early prediction, treatment management, and patient notification in cases of CRO infection treated with colistin sulfate.
RESUMEN
Background: There is a wide debate about the efficacy and safety of voriconazole in patients with impaired hepatic function at Child-Pugh C level. Objective: The purpose of this study was to investigate the safety and efficacy between the two groups treated with different dosages of voriconazole (400mg/day vs 200mg/day) in the treatment of invasive fungal infections (IFIs) in patients with hepatic dysfunction. Methods: A retrospective study enrolling patients with hepatic dysfunction receiving intravenous voriconazole for IFIs from January 1st, 2017, to December 30th, 2021 was conducted. Patients were enrolled in the 400mg per day dose group and 200mg per day dose group. In patients with the same degree of hepatic impairment, factors affecting prognosis were screened and differences in steady-state blood trough concentrations (Cmin) of voriconazole, positive G/GM tests and adverse effects (AEs) were compared between the two groups described above. Results: In total, 308 patients with IFIs were enrolled. For Child-Pugh C class, patients receiving the halved maintenance dose had a lower Cmin and AEs rate but higher recovered rate compared to those receiving maintenance dose, and significant predictors of recovery were dosage (OR, 5.131; 95% CI, 1.599-16.464; p = 0.006) and diabetes (OR, 0.111; 95% CI, 0.020-0.597; p = 0.010). For patients of Child-Pugh A & B class, chronic liver disease (OR, 0.334; 95% CI, 0.159-0.704; p = 0.004) was a prognosis-related factor. Conclusion: Halving maintenance dose ensure the efficacy and safety of voriconazole in patients suffering from invasive fungal infections with serious hepatic dysfunction.