RESUMEN

A course of the disease was studied in 190 patients with hepatic cirrhosis and portal hypertension without bleeding as well as in 107 patients with bleeding from esophageal and gastric varices. The Wald's consecutive analysis with derivation of a summary diagnostic coefficient on the basis of 13 clinical signs was used. Effectiveness of the method was assessed by means of retrospective analysis of 150 case records and long-term results of treatment of 30 patients. The method permits to predict the development of gastroesophageal bleeding in 95.4% of cases.

Asunto(s)

Várices Esofágicas y Gástricas/complicaciones , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiología , Cirrosis Hepática/complicaciones , Adulto , Anciano , Várices Esofágicas y Gástricas/etiología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Estudios Retrospectivos