RESUMEN
Defining tumor stage at diagnosis is a pivotal point for clinical decisions about patient treatment strategies. In this respect, early detection of occult metastasis invisible to current imaging methods would have a major impact on best care and long-term survival. Mathematical models that describe metastatic spreading might estimate the risk of metastasis when no clinical evidence is available. In this study, we adapted a top-down model to make such estimates. The model was constituted by a transport equation describing metastatic growth and endowed with a boundary condition for metastatic emission. Model predictions were compared with experimental results from orthotopic breast tumor xenograft experiments conducted in Nod/Scidγ mice. Primary tumor growth, metastatic spread and growth were monitored by 3D bioluminescence tomography. A tailored computational approach allowed the use of Monolix software for mixed-effects modeling with a partial differential equation model. Primary tumor growth was described best by Bertalanffy, West, and Gompertz models, which involve an initial exponential growth phase. All other tested models were rejected. The best metastatic model involved two parameters describing metastatic spreading and growth, respectively. Visual predictive check, analysis of residuals, and a bootstrap study validated the model. Coefficients of determination were [Formula: see text] for primary tumor growth and [Formula: see text] for metastatic growth. The data-based model development revealed several biologically significant findings. First, information on both growth and spreading can be obtained from measures of total metastatic burden. Second, the postulated link between primary tumor size and emission rate is validated. Finally, fast growing peritoneal metastases can only be described by such a complex partial differential equation model and not by ordinary differential equation models. This work advances efforts to predict metastatic spreading during the earliest stages of cancer.
Asunto(s)
Proliferación Celular , Metástasis de la Neoplasia , Neoplasias Experimentales/patología , Animales , Línea Celular Tumoral , Femenino , Mediciones Luminiscentes , Neoplasias Pulmonares/patología , Ratones , Modelos Teóricos , Metástasis de la Neoplasia/patología , Trasplante de Neoplasias , Neoplasias Peritoneales/secundarioRESUMEN
In cancer diseases, the appearance of metastases is a very pejorative forecast. Chemotherapies are systemic treatments which aim at the elimination of the micrometastases produced by a primitive tumour. The efficiency of chemotherapies closely depends on the protocols of administration. Mathematical modeling is an invaluable tool to help in evaluating the best treatment strategy. Iwata et al. [K. Iwata, K. Kawasaki, N. Shigesad, A dynamical model for the growth and size distribution of multiple metastatic tumors, J. Theor. Biol. 203 (2000) 177.] proposed a partial differential equation (PDE) that describes the metastatic evolution of an untreated tumour. In this article, we conducted a thorough mathematical analysis of this model. Particularly, we provide an explicit formula for the growth rate parameter, as well as a numerical resolution of this PDE. By increasing our understanding of the existing model, this work is crucial for further extension and refinement of the model. It settles down the framework necessary for the consideration of drugs administration effects on tumour development.