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Background and Aims: There are minimal recent population-based data on the epidemiology of Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) in the United States. Methods: This retrospective cohort study evaluated H. pylori positivity rates in adult members of a large, community-based US population in 2000-2019. Time trends, demographic disparities, and birth cohort effects on H. pylori test positivity rates were analyzed. Results: Among 751,322 individuals tested for H. pylori, the overall nonserological and serological test positivity rates were 18.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 18.1%-18.4%) and 36.8% (95% CI, 36.6%-36.9%), respectively. Nonserological positivity rate (95% CI) was significantly higher among Asian (23.2% [22.8%-23.6%]), Black (25.1% [24.4%-25.8%]), and Hispanic (28.1% [27.7%-28.5%]) individuals than non-Hispanic White individuals (10.0% [9.8%-10.2%]), and was significantly higher among individuals with a non-English language preference (32.9% [32.3%-33.5%]) than those with English language preference (15.8% [15.6%-15.9%]). Patterns were similar for serological positivity, although with substantially higher rates. Serological positivity rates decreased over 2 decades but nonserological positivity rates initially decreased and then stabilized over the past decade. There was a significant decrease in both nonserological and serological positivity rates from older to younger birth cohorts. Older age, non-White race or Hispanic ethnicity, male sex, and non-English language preference were associated with high odds of H. pylori positivity. Conclusion: The burden of H. pylori decreased over 2 decades, although the rates of active infection plateaued over the past decade in a diverse, community-based US population, likely attributable to birth cohort effects and demographic changes. Asian, Black, and Hispanic individuals had 2-3-fold higher rates of active H. pylori infection than non-Hispanic White individuals. These findings should inform targeted screening and eradication of H. pylori in high-risk US populations.
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Background and Aims: Demand for surveillance colonoscopy can sometimes exceed capacity, such as during and following the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, yet no tools exist to prioritize the patients most likely to be diagnosed with colorectal cancer (CRC) among those awaiting surveillance colonoscopy. We developed a multivariable prediction model for CRC at surveillance comparing performance to a model that assigned patients as low or high risk based solely on polyp characteristics (guideline-based model). Methods: Logistic regression was used for model development among patients receiving surveillance colonoscopy in 2014-2019. Candidate predictors included index colonoscopy indication, findings, and endoscopist adenoma detection rate, and patient and clinical characteristics at surveillance. Patients were randomly divided into model development (n = 36,994) and internal validation cohorts (n = 15,854). External validation was performed on 30,015 patients receiving surveillance colonoscopy in 2020-2022, and the multivariable model was then updated and retested. Results: One hundred fourteen, 43, and 71 CRCs were detected at surveillance in the 3 cohorts, respectively. Polyp size ≥10 mm, adenoma detection rate <32.5% or missing, patient age, and ever smoked tobacco were significant CRC predictors; this multivariable model outperformed the guideline-based model (internal validation cohort area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve: 0.73, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.66-0.81 vs 0.52, 95% CI: 0.45-0.60). Performance declined at external validation but recovered with model updating (operating characteristic curve: 0.72 95% CI: 0.66-0.77). Conclusion: When surveillance colonoscopy demand exceeds capacity, a prediction model featuring common clinical predictors may help prioritize patients at highest risk for CRC among those awaiting surveillance. Also, regular model updates can address model performance drift.
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BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Guidelines now recommend patients with low-risk adenomas receive colonoscopy surveillance in 7-10 years and those with the previously recommended 5-year interval be re-evaluated. We tested 3 outreach approaches for transitioning patients to the 10-year interval recommendation. METHODS: This was a 3-arm pragmatic randomized trial comparing telephone, secure messaging, and mailed letter outreach. The setting was Kaiser Permanente Northern California, a large integrated healthcare system. Participants were patients 54-70 years of age with 1-2 small (<10 mm) tubular adenomas at baseline colonoscopy, due for 5-year surveillance in 2022, without high-risk conditions, and with access to all 3 outreach modalities. Patients were randomly assigned to the outreach arm (telephone [n = 200], secure message [n = 203], and mailed letter [n = 201]) stratified by age, sex, and race/ethnicity. Outreach in each arm was performed by trained medical assistants (unblinded) communicating in English with 1 reminder attempt at 2-4 weeks. Participants could change their assigned interval to 10 years or continue their planned 5-year interval. RESULTS: Sixty-day response rates were higher for telephone (64.5%) and secure messaging outreach (51.7%) vs mailed letter (31.3%). Also, more patients adopted the 10-year surveillance interval in the telephone (37.0%) and secure messaging arms (32.0%) compared with mailed letter (18.9%) and rate differences were significant for telephone (18.1%; 97.5% confidence interval: 8.3%-27.9%) and secure message outreach (13.1%; 97.5% confidence interval: 3.5%-22.7%) vs mailed letter outreach. CONCLUSIONS: Telephone and secure messaging were more effective than mailed letter outreach for de-implementing outdated colonoscopy surveillance recommendations among individuals with a history of low-risk adenomas in an integrated healthcare setting. (ClinicalTrials.gov, Number: NCT05389397).
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Colonoscopía , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adenoma/diagnóstico , California , Colonoscopía/métodos , Colonoscopía/estadística & datos numéricos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorrectales/prevención & control , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , TeléfonoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND & AIMS: The COVID-19 pandemic has affected clinical services globally, including colorectal cancer (CRC) screening and diagnostic testing. We investigated the pandemic's impact on fecal immunochemical test (FIT) screening, colonoscopy utilization, and colorectal neoplasia detection across 21 medical centers in a large integrated health care organization. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study in Kaiser Permanente Northern California patients ages 18 to 89 years in 2019 and 2020 and measured changes in the numbers of mailed, completed, and positive FITs; colonoscopies; and cases of colorectal neoplasia detected by colonoscopy in 2020 vs 2019. RESULTS: FIT kit mailings ceased in mid-March through April 2020 but then rebounded and there was an 8.7% increase in kits mailed compared with 2019. With the later mailing of FIT kits, there were 9.0% fewer FITs completed and 10.1% fewer positive tests in 2020 vs 2019. Colonoscopy volumes declined 79.4% in April 2020 compared with April 2019 but recovered to near pre-pandemic volumes in September through December, resulting in a 26.9% decline in total colonoscopies performed in 2020. The number of patients diagnosed by colonoscopy with CRC and advanced adenoma declined by 8.7% and 26.9%, respectively, in 2020 vs 2019. CONCLUSIONS: The pandemic led to fewer FIT screenings and colonoscopies in 2020 vs 2019; however, after the lifting of shelter-in-place orders, FIT screenings exceeded, and colonoscopy volumes nearly reached numbers from those same months in 2019. Overall, there was an 8.7% reduction in CRC cases diagnosed by colonoscopy in 2020. These data may help inform the development of strategies for CRC screening and diagnostic testing during future national emergencies.