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Background: Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scans contain valuable information beyond the Agatston Score which is currently reported for predicting coronary heart disease (CHD) only. We examined whether new artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms applied to CAC scans may provide significant improvement in prediction of all cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in addition to CHD, including heart failure, atrial fibrillation, stroke, resuscitated cardiac arrest, and all CVD-related deaths. Methods: We applied AI-enabled automated cardiac chambers volumetry and automated calcified plaque characterization to CAC scans (AI-CAC) of 5830 individuals (52.2% women, age 61.7±10.2 years) without known CVD that were previously obtained for CAC scoring at the baseline examination of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). We used 15-year outcomes data and assessed discrimination using the time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) for AI-CAC versus the Agatston Score. Results: During 15 years of follow-up, 1773 CVD events accrued. The AUC at 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year follow up for AI-CAC vs Agatston Score was (0.784 vs 0.701), (0.771 vs. 0.709), (0.789 vs.0.712) and (0.816 vs. 0.729) (p<0.0001 for all), respectively. The category-free Net Reclassification Index of AI-CAC vs. Agatston Score at 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year follow up was 0.31, 0.24, 0.29 and 0.29 (p<.0001 for all), respectively. AI-CAC plaque characteristics including number, location, and density of plaque plus number of vessels significantly improved NRI for CAC 1-100 cohort vs. Agatston Score (0.342). Conclusion: In this multi-ethnic longitudinal population study, AI-CAC significantly and consistently improved the prediction of all CVD events over 15 years compared with the Agatston score.
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BACKGROUND: Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scans contain actionable information beyond CAC scores that is not currently reported. METHODS: We have applied artificial intelligence-enabled automated cardiac chambers volumetry to CAC scans (AI-CACTM) to 5535 asymptomatic individuals (52.2% women, ages 45-84) that were previously obtained for CAC scoring in the baseline examination (2000-2002) of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). AI-CAC took on average 21 âs per CAC scan. We used the 5-year outcomes data for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and assessed discrimination using the time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) of AI-CAC LA volume with known predictors of AF, the CHARGE-AF Risk Score and NT-proBNP. The mean follow-up time to an AF event was 2.9 â± â1.4 years. RESULTS: At 1,2,3,4, and 5 years follow-up 36, 77, 123, 182, and 236 cases of AF were identified, respectively. The AUC for AI-CAC LA volume was significantly higher than CHARGE-AF for Years 1, 2, and 3 (0.83 vs. 0.74, 0.84 vs. 0.80, and 0.81 vs. 0.78, respectively, all p â< â0.05), but similar for Years 4 and 5, and significantly higher than NT-proBNP at Years 1-5 (all p â< â0.01), but not for combined CHARGE-AF and NT-proBNP at any year. AI-CAC LA significantly improved the continuous Net Reclassification Index for prediction of AF over years 1-5 when added to CHARGE-AF Risk Score (0.60, 0.28, 0.32, 0.19, 0.24), and NT-proBNP (0.68, 0.44, 0.42, 0.30, 0.37) (all p â< â0.01). CONCLUSION: AI-CAC LA volume enabled prediction of AF as early as one year and significantly improved on risk classification of CHARGE-AF Risk Score and NT-proBNP.
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Fibrilación Atrial , Biomarcadores , Angiografía Coronaria , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria , Péptido Natriurético Encefálico , Fragmentos de Péptidos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Calcificación Vascular , Humanos , Fibrilación Atrial/etnología , Fibrilación Atrial/diagnóstico por imagen , Fibrilación Atrial/sangre , Femenino , Fragmentos de Péptidos/sangre , Péptido Natriurético Encefálico/sangre , Anciano , Masculino , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/etnología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Medición de Riesgo , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Calcificación Vascular/diagnóstico por imagen , Calcificación Vascular/etnología , Biomarcadores/sangre , Factores de Tiempo , Pronóstico , Estados Unidos , Inteligencia Artificial , Angiografía por Tomografía Computarizada , Atrios Cardíacos/diagnóstico por imagen , Interpretación de Imagen Radiográfica Asistida por Computador , Enfermedades Asintomáticas , Incidencia , Reproducibilidad de los ResultadosRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scans contain useful information beyond the Agatston CAC score that is not currently reported. We recently reported that artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled cardiac chambers volumetry in CAC scans (AI-CAC™) predicted incident atrial fibrillation in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). In this study, we investigated the performance of AI-CAC cardiac chambers for prediction of incident heart failure (HF). METHODS: We applied AI-CAC to 5750 CAC scans of asymptomatic individuals (52% female, White 40%, Black 26%, Hispanic 22% Chinese 12%) free of known cardiovascular disease at the MESA baseline examination (2000-2002). We used the 15-year outcomes data and compared the time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) of AI-CAC volumetry versus NT-proBNP, Agatston score, and 9 known clinical risk factors (age, gender, diabetes, current smoking, hypertension medication, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, LDL, HDL for predicting incident HF over 15 years. RESULTS: Over 15 years of follow-up, 256 HF events accrued. The time-dependent AUC [95% CI] at 15 years for predicting HF with AI-CAC all chambers volumetry (0.86 [0.82,0.91]) was significantly higher than NT-proBNP (0.74 [0.69, 0.77]) and Agatston score (0.71 [0.68, 0.78]) (p â< â0.0001), and comparable to clinical risk factors (0.85, p â= â0.4141). Category-free Net Reclassification Index (NRI) [95% CI] adding AI-CAC LV significantly improved on clinical risk factors (0.32 [0.16,0.41]), NT-proBNP (0.46 [0.33,0.58]), and Agatston score (0.71 [0.57,0.81]) for HF prediction at 15 years (p â< â0.0001). CONCLUSION: AI-CAC volumetry significantly outperformed NT-proBNP and the Agatston CAC score, and significantly improved the AUC and category-free NRI of clinical risk factors for incident HF prediction.
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Inteligencia Artificial , Biomarcadores , Angiografía por Tomografía Computarizada , Angiografía Coronaria , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Péptido Natriurético Encefálico , Fragmentos de Péptidos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Calcificación Vascular , Humanos , Femenino , Masculino , Fragmentos de Péptidos/sangre , Péptido Natriurético Encefálico/sangre , Anciano , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/etnología , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedad de la Arteria Coronaria/etnología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Biomarcadores/sangre , Calcificación Vascular/diagnóstico por imagen , Calcificación Vascular/etnología , Medición de Riesgo , Pronóstico , Estados Unidos , Factores de Tiempo , Incidencia , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Interpretación de Imagen Radiográfica Asistida por Computador , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Tomografía Computarizada Multidetector , Enfermedades AsintomáticasRESUMEN
Background: Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scans contain actionable information beyond CAC scores that is not currently reported. Methods: We have applied artificial intelligence-enabled automated cardiac chambers volumetry to CAC scans (AI-CAC), taking on average 21 seconds per CAC scan, to 5535 asymptomatic individuals (52.2% women, ages 45-84) that were previously obtained for CAC scoring in the baseline examination (2000-2002) of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). We used the 5-year outcomes data for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and compared the time-dependent AUC of AI-CAC LA volume with known predictors of AF, the CHARGE-AF Risk Score and NT-proBNP (BNP). The mean follow-up time to an AF event was 2.9±1.4 years. Results: At 1,2,3,4, and 5 years follow-up 36, 77, 123, 182, and 236 cases of AF were identified, respectively. The AUC for AI-CAC LA volume was significantly higher than CHARGE-AF or BNP at year 1 (0.836, 0.742, 0.742), year 2 (0.842, 0.807,0.772), and year 3 (0.811, 0.785, 0.745) (p<0.02), but similar for year 4 (0.785, 0.769, 0.725) and year 5 (0.781, 0.767, 0.734) respectively (p>0.05). AI-CAC LA volume significantly improved the continuous Net Reclassification Index for prediction of AF over years 1-5 when added to CAC score (0.74, 0.49, 0.53, 0.39, 0.44), CHARGE-AF Risk Score (0.60, 0.28, 0.32, 0.19, 0.24), and BNP (0.68, 0.44, 0.42, 0.30, 0.37) respectively (p<0.01). Conclusion: AI-CAC LA volume enabled prediction of AF as early as one year and significantly improved on risk classification of CHARGE-AF Risk Score and BNP.
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Rationale and objectives: We previously reported a novel manual method for measuring bone mineral density (BMD) in coronary artery calcium (CAC) scans and validated our method against Dual X-Ray Absorptiometry (DEXA). Furthermore, we have developed and validated an artificial intelligence (AI) based automated BMD (AutoBMD) measurement as an opportunistic add-on to CAC scans that recently received FDA approval. In this report, we present evidence of equivalency between AutoBMD measurements in cardiac vs lung CT scans. Materials and methods: AI models were trained using 132 cases with 7649 (3 mm) slices for CAC, and 37 cases with 21918 (0.5 mm) slices for lung scans. To validate AutoBMD against manual measurements, we used 6776 cases of BMD measured manually on CAC scans in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). We then used 165 additional cases from Harbor UCLA Lundquist Institute to compare AutoBMD in patients who underwent both cardiac and lung scans on the same day. Results: Mean±SD for age was 69 ± 9.4 years with 52.4% male. AutoBMD in lung and cardiac scans, and manual BMD in cardiac scans were 153.7 ± 43.9, 155.1 ± 44.4, and 163.6 ± 45.3 g/cm3, respectively (p = 0.09). Bland-Altman agreement analysis between AutoBMD lung and cardiac scans resulted in 1.37 g/cm3 mean differences. Pearson correlation coefficient between lung and cardiac AutoBMD was R2 = 0.95 (p < 0.0001). Conclusion: Opportunistic BMD measurement using AutoBMD in CAC and lung cancer screening scans is promising and yields similar results. No extra radiation plus the high prevalence of asymptomatic osteoporosis makes AutoBMD an ideal screening tool for osteopenia and osteoporosis in CT scans done for other reasons.