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1.
J Environ Manage ; 314: 115077, 2022 Jul 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35472836

RESUMEN

Decision-making processes to ensure sustainability of complex agro-ecosystems must simultaneously accommodate production goals, environmental soundness, and social relevancy. This means that besides environmental indicators and human activities, stakeholders' perceptions need to be considered in the decision-making process to enable the adoption of mitigation practices. Thus, the decision-making process equates to a multi-criteria and multi-objective problem, requiring additional tools and methods to analyze the possible tradeoffs among decision alternatives based on social acceptability. This study was aimed at establishing a decision support system that integrates hydro-ecologic models and socio-cultural perspectives to identify and assess feasible land management alternatives that can enhance the Kaskaskia River Watershed (KRW) ecosystem services in Illinois (USA). The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to simulate the spatio-temporal response of nine environmental predictors to four major management alternatives (crop rotation, cover cropping, reduced tillage, modified fertilizer application) based on stakeholder acceptability and environmental soundness, under 32 distinct climate projections. The stochastic multicriteria acceptability analysis (SMAA) was then applied to classify the management alternatives from the least to the most efficient based on three preference schemes: no preference, expert stakeholders' preference, and non-expert stakeholders' preference. Results showed that preference information on watershed ecosystem services is crucial to guide the decision-making process when a broad spectrum of criteria is considered to assess the management alternatives' systemic response. The disparity between expert and non-expert stakeholders' preferences showed different rankings of alternatives across several subcatchments, where the two-year corn one-year soybean rotation scheme was expected to offer the best management alternative to ensure a sustainable agro-production system in the highly cultivated subcatchments of the KRW. In contrast, non-conventional tillage practices were expected to contravene agricultural production, and therefore should be discarded unless combined with complementary measures. This study will enable stakeholders to identify the most suitable management practices to adapt to natural and anthropogenic changes and encourage engagement between government institutions and local communities (multi-stakeholder consensus) to provide a better platform for decision-making.


Asunto(s)
Agricultura , Ecosistema , Agricultura/métodos , Clima , Conservación de los Recursos Naturales , Humanos , Ríos , Suelo
2.
J Environ Manage ; 249: 109327, 2019 Nov 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31400587

RESUMEN

The use of Nitrogen (N) fertilizer boosted crop production to accommodate 7 billion people on Earth in the 20th century but with the consequence of exacerbating N losses from agricultural landscapes. Land management practices that can prevent high N load are constantly being sought for mitigation and conservation purposes. This study was aimed at evaluating the impacts of different land management practices under projected climate scenarios on surface runoff linked N load at the field scale level. A framework to analyze changes in N load at a high spatiotemporal resolution under high greenhouse emission climate projections was developed using the Pesticide Root Zone Model (PRZM) for the Willow Creek Watershed in the Fort Cobb Experimental Watershed in Oklahoma. Specifically, 12 combinations of land management and climate scenarios were evaluated based on their N load via surface runoff from 2020 to 2070. Results showed that crop rotation practices lowered both the N load and the probability of high N load events. Spring application reduced the negative effects in summer and fall from other land management practices but at the risk of increased probability of generating high N load in April and May. The fertilizer application rate was found to be the most critical factor that affected the amount and the probability of high N load events. By adopting a target application management approach, the monthly maximum N can be decreased by 13% while the annual mean N load by 6%. The model framework and analysis method developed in this research can be used to analyze tradeoffs between environmental welfare and economic benefits of N fertilizer at the field scale level.


Asunto(s)
Agricultura , Nitrógeno , Clima , Cambio Climático , Fertilizantes
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